Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water
Regulation Impact Statement Of The Future Made In Australia (guarantee Of Origin Bill 2024).
Summary
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This Regulation Impact Statement outlines projected participation and certificate generation under the Future Made in Australia (Guarantee of Origin) Bill 2024, which establishes a certification scheme for clean manufacturing. The table projects growth across hydrogen production methods (electrolysis, steam methane reforming with and without carbon capture, coal gasification, biomass gasification, and emerging methods like pyrolysis and autothermal reforming) from FY23/24 through FY26/27, with hydrogen electrolysis alone estimated to reach 226.9 million kilograms by FY26/27. The scheme extends to ammonia, methane, sustainable aviation fuel, methanol, and downstream industrial products (alumina, aluminium, steel, cement). Projections show gradual uptake across sectors, with some products like methane and SAF beginning production in later years. This scheme appears designed to facilitate Australian clean manufacturing exports while creating measurement and transparency mechanisms
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