Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water
Documents Regarding Net Zero Plan, Six Sector Plans And Treasury Modelling.
Summary
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This FOI disclosure contains Treasury modelling and sector-level emissions projections from Australia's Net Zero Strategy baseline scenario (Baseline 4.13). The data tracks projected emissions across six sectors—Electricity and Energy, Transport, Resources, Industry, Agriculture, and Built Environment—plus carbon removals, from 2025 to 2050. Electricity and Energy shows the steepest decline (140.1 Mt CO2-e in 2025 to 9.0 Mt in 2050), while Agriculture remains relatively stable at around 61–86 Mt CO2-e throughout the period. Carbon removals are projected to increase substantially from 73.7 Mt in 2025 to 166.8 Mt by 2050. Net emissions are modelled to reach zero by 2050 (0.00 Mt). The document includes stacked area and waterfall charts illustrating sectoral contributions and transitions. No specific EPBC Act decisions, scientific disagreements, or site-level environmental assessments are evident in this excerpt; it comprises aggregate national modelling data underlying the net zero policy framework.
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