Department of the Treasury

National Housing Accord

4217 Released 36 pages PDF

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Treasury's National Housing Supply and Affordability Council released state-level projections for the Housing Accord (2024-25 to 2028-29), which targets 1.2 million new well-located homes nationally. The analysis reveals significant underperformance against population-proportional targets: only the ACT is projected to meet its share (106% of target), with Victoria approaching its share at 93%. All other states face substantial shortfalls—NSW at 70%, Queensland at 76%, South Australia and Western Australia both at 71%, Tasmania at 58%, and Northern Territory at 38%. The document includes baseline scenario projections of net new market supply accounting for demolitions and non-market (social and affordable) housing deliverables. The modelling indicates only ACT will deliver housing supply proportional to its population share under current policy settings.

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