FOI 27-3533 – Documents related to NDIS participant reductions

Written by Claude Haiku 5.5 from the extracted text on 21 Oct 2026. It can miss or misread redacted and scanned pages. Check the source before relying on it.

The document is an additional modelling detail paper on proposed NDIS savings and participant reductions, marked "In Confidence and Need to Know" and labelled FOI 27-3535 on its cover but FOI 27-3533 in the header. It sets out projected fiscal savings of $38.1 billion over 2025-26 to 2029-30 on a fiscal balance basis, broken down by volume of supports, access arrangements, and pricing, fraud and integrity measures. Key measures include a reset of Social, Community and Civic Participation (SCCP) budgets, which would cut average SCCP payments by an estimated 24.7%, an Objective Test of Substantially Reduced Functional Capacity, and ending plan rollovers from 1 February 2027. Participant numbers are projected to fall from a pre-reform trajectory of about 944,000 in 2030-31 to around 598,000, with access changes not commencing until 1 January 2028. The paper notes that all figures are indicative and preliminary.